An existential threat to coastal nations
We may be committing ourselves to an eventual complete deglaciation of Earth in a business-as-usual scenario (ECP8.5). The sea level rise from a complete deglaciation would wipe my own country, …
Mar 15, 2016Collapse
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Optimistic and over-confident ice sheet projections in AR5
Take away message: The graph on the right shows that AR5 process based ice sheet projections are optimistic and over confident when compared to views of ice sheet experts. To be fair they do mention a …
Oct 8, 2015 -
Three views on sea level commitment
Three recent papers on long term sea level commitment:
Aug 26, 2015 -
Vulnerability of marine based sectors of Antarctica
Should we take the risk of Antarctic collapse seriously? The IPCC AR5 sea level chapter considered instability of marine-based sectors of the ice sheets to be unlikely (Church et al., 2013). However, …
Nov 3, 2014 -
Semiempirical and process-based global sea level projections
We review the two main approaches to estimating sea level rise over the coming century: physically plausible models of reduced complexity that exploit statistical relationships between sea level and …
Dec 24, 2013