More and Stronger Hurricane surges
Here is an illustration which may help to interpret changes in return period/return magnitude plots.
Sep 30, 2015Extremes
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Projected Atlantic hurricane surge threat from rising temperatures
Detection and attribution of past changes in cyclone activity is hampered by biased cyclone records due to changes in observational capabilities. Here we relate a new homogeneous record of Atlantic …
Dec 24, 2013 -
Trends in extreme hurricane damage
I have downloaded the ICAT damage estimates of normalized hurricane damages(/losses) and looked at the trends in the data. This series is often used to argue that there is no significant trend in …
Nov 20, 2013 -
Homogeneous record of Atlantic hurricane surge threat since 1923
Detection and attribution of past changes in cyclone activity are hampered by biased cyclone records due to changes in observational capabilities. Here we construct an independent record of Atlantic …
Oct 11, 2013 -
A rebuttal to Pielke Jr's 18ft critique.
We show in our paper that the surge index correlates with major land falling hurricanes with a correlation coefficient of 0.6. As expected this correlation improves with smoothing (see paper or table …
Sep 13, 2013 -
Cold and Warm Extremes in a warmer world
Greenhouse gases is warming the world and this will lead to more frequent heat waves all else being equal. You might naively think that this increase in extreme warm spells will be compensated by an …
Jun 24, 2012