Plausible upper limit of WAIS ice loss
Ritz et al. (2015) have a recent model study of potential sea level rise from Antarctic marine ice sheet instability.
Dec 15, 2015Wais Collapse
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Three views on sea level commitment
Three recent papers on long term sea level commitment:
Aug 26, 2015 -
Ice sheet pessimists are not outliers
Bamber and Aspinall 2013 published a formal expert elicitation on the future of our two ice sheets, and found a large spread between individual expert answers. It has been argued by them, and others …
May 27, 2015 -
Ice sheet contributions to SLR from Bamber and Aspinall
Bamber and Aspinall (2013) carried out an expert elicitation of ice sheet experts. From this they could derive uncertainty ranges of the rate of mass loss from each ice sheet in 2100. In order to …
May 6, 2015 -
West Antarctic collapse in the IPCC reports
I have extracted some quotes from the IPCC reports since 1990 showing how West Antarctic Ice Sheet collapse has been discussed over time. It is not an exhaustive list.
Jan 7, 2015 -
Upper limit for sea level projections by 2100
We construct the probability density function of global sea level at 2100, estimating that sea level rises larger than 180 cm are less than 5% probable. An upper limit for global sea level rise of 190 …
Oct 23, 2014 -
WAIS collapse during the last interglacial?
There are several lines of evidence pointing to a WAIS collapse during the last interglacial (MIS 5 / Eemian).
Oct 17, 2013