This is an updated version of the regularized global glacier volume estimates from Cogley (2012). I have included 2 new estimates: one by myself (G13) and another from Huss and Farinotti (HF12). These …
Nov 10, 2014
Should we take the risk of Antarctic collapse seriously? The IPCC AR5 sea level chapter considered instability of marine-based sectors of the ice sheets to be unlikely (Church et al., 2013). However, …
Nov 3, 2014
I am disappointed in how the sea level rise projection uncertainties are presented in the IPCC AR5. The way the numbers are presented makes people believe 98 cm by 2100 is a worst-case scenario which …
Oct 23, 2014
We construct the probability density function of global sea level at 2100, estimating that sea level rises larger than 180 cm are less than 5% probable. An upper limit for global sea level rise of 190 …
Oct 23, 2014
In order to extract the intrinsic information of climatic time series from background red noise, in this paper, we will first give an analytic formula on the distribution of Haar wavelet power spectra …
Jun 20, 2014
It can be quite difficult to interpret what likely exactly means sometimes. For example in the AR5 sea level chapter they report a likely range of 21-33 cm for thermal expansion (RCP8.5 table 13.5). I …
May 14, 2014
Me at EGU 2014:
Apr 16, 2014
We examined the impact of the 5 & 9 most major volcanic eruptions on global sea level. We construct a record of sea level and its uncertainty since 1854. From this we isolate the volcanic …
Mar 24, 2014
El Nino is not well represented by many climate models.
Feb 27, 2014
I assess the feasibility of multi-variate scaling relationships to estimate glacier volume from glacier inventory data. Scaling laws are calibrated against volume observations optimized for the …
Dec 24, 2013
Detection and attribution of past changes in cyclone activity is hampered by biased cyclone records due to changes in observational capabilities. Here we relate a new homogeneous record of Atlantic …
Dec 24, 2013
We review the two main approaches to estimating sea level rise over the coming century: physically plausible models of reduced complexity that exploit statistical relationships between sea level and …
Dec 24, 2013